corona virus and scouts . . . .

Today . . . Schools and public institutions to close from today.
https://www.thejournal.ie/coronavirus-school-clsoure-5039700-Mar2020/
https://www.thejournal.ie/what-should-workers-do-about-coronavirus-5043451-Mar2020/
And Scout meetings are off.
https://www.scouts.ie/News/2020/Coronavirus-Advisory.html
Larger Scout activities indoor>100 outdoor>500 are off.
But local county and group smaller activities are called off anyway.
We hope to get Scouts out doing more individual Scouty things where it will not put them or others at rish and while this goes on . . .



We did some Corona Virus information and Kim's game First Aid items in Scouts yesterday.
And County Cup prep.
And scotch game for starters.
And corona virus/first aid quiz.
What should we do: wash hands, isolate, protect yourself and others:
 https://www2.hse.ie/conditions/coronavirus/protect-yourself.html


1. WHY are we doing this?
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-symptoms/
80% of cases are mild
at risk: people over 60 and people with pre-existing conditions.
That is why we must try and slow down the spread, to look after vulnerable people.

2. Again, WHY are we doing this?

From the New York Times article below . . one chart(credit NYT/CDC/Economist) explains why slowing the spread of the infection is nearly as important as stopping it.

cc

"Mitigation efforts like social distancing help reduce the disease caseload on any given date, and can keep the healthcare system from becoming overwhelmed"

3. Again, WHY are we doing this?

Plea from doctors in the overwhelmed Italian hospitals to take this seriously.

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1237142891077697538.html

"

From a well respected friend and intensivist/A&E consultant who is currently in northern Italy:
1/ ‘I feel the pressure to give you a quick personal update about what is happening in Italy, and also give some quick direct advice about what you should do.

2/ First, Lumbardy is the most developed region in Italy and it has a extraordinary good healthcare, I have worked in Italy, UK and Aus and don’t make the mistake to think that what is happening is happening in a 3rd world country.

3/ The current situation is difficult to imagine and numbers do not explain things at all. Our hospitals are overwhelmed by Covid-19, they are running 200% capacity

4/ We’ve stopped all routine, all ORs have been converted to ITUs and they are now diverting or not treating all other emergencies like trauma or strokes. There are hundreds of pts with severe resp failure and many of them do not have access to anything above a reservoir mask.

5/ Patients above 65 or younger with comorbidities are not even assessed by ITU, I am not saying not tubed, I’m saying not assessed and no ITU staff attends when they arrest. Staff are working as much as they can but they are starting to get sick and are emotionally overwhelmed.

6/ My friends call me in tears because they see people dying in front of them and they con only offer some oxygen. Ortho and pathologists are being given a leaflet and sent to see patients on NIV. PLEASE STOP, READ THIS AGAIN AND THINK.

7/ We have seen the same pattern in different areas a week apart, and there is no reason that in a few weeks it won’t be the same everywhere, this is the pattern:

8/ 1)A few positive cases, first mild measures, people are told to avoid ED but still hang out in groups, everyone says not to panick
2)Some moderate resp failures and a few severe ones that need tube, but regular access to ED is significantly reduced so everything looks great

9/ 3)Tons of patients with moderate resp failure, that overtime deteriorate to saturate ICUs first, then NIVs, then CPAP hoods, then even O2.
4)Staff gets sick so it gets difficult to cover for shifts, mortality spikes also from all other causes that can’t be treated properly.

10/ Everything about how to treat them is online but the only things that will make a difference are: do not be afraid of massively strict measures to keep people safe,

11/ if governments won’t do this at least keep your family safe, your loved ones with history of cancer or diabetes or any transplant will not be tubed if they need it even if they are young. By safe I mean YOU do not attend them and YOU decide who does and YOU teach them how to.

12/ Another typical attitude is read and listen to people saying things like this and think “that’s bad dude” and then go out for dinner because you think you’ll be safe.

13/ We have seen it, you won’t be if you don’t take it seriously. I really hope it won’t be as bad as here but prepare.

"

 and another: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1236933818654896129.html

 

MORE Information . . .

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
 80k cases in China.
 34(Tue) -> 43(Wed) -> 70(Thur) cases in Ireland.


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/
There are currently 127,810 confirmed cases and 4,717 deaths from the coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak as of March 12, 2020, 11:37 GMT.

Understanding with maps and graphs.

https://www.gov.ie/en/news/7e0924-latest-updates-on-covid-19-coronavirus/
Interesting, graphs of new cases showing how controlled the spread is in countries.
New cases graphs for China and South Korea look like the normal curve:
 they have had the initial growth in infection, it levelled out and is now going down.
Global cases look like an initial normal curve up then down and now a newer bigger normal curve.
Looks like many countries Italy, Iran, Spain, . . Ireland(..,34,43,70,) are on the start steep upslope of normal curve.
Graphs for Singapore, Japan are flatter, looks like measures to control the spread of the virus are effectively limiting it so they are seeing a much flatter curve.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/11/science/coronavirus-curve-mitigation-infection.html
https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/coronavirus-map-confirmed-cases-2020-n1120686
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-wuhan-novel-coronavirus-outbreak/

https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2020/3/10/21171722/taiwan-coronavirus-china-social-distancing-quarantine
Lessons learned from SARS. Early action. Catch the disease early when initial reports came from China inspectors boarded planes, checked people and started isolating/quarantining. Raised awareness. Daily updates.

Interactive map and graph of cases:
https://qap.ecdc.europa.eu/public/extensions/COVID-19/COVID-19.html
https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/coronavirus-maps.html

From Bloomberg:  Normal curve graphs . . .

"While new cases in China have slowed, the rate of known and reported cases is increasing rapidly in many countries as the virus continues to spread globally."

Global Cases Added Per Day

New cases: 4,620

Jan 21

Mar 11

Mainland China

New cases: 24

Jan 21

Mar 11

Italy

977

Iran

881

South Korea

242

France

373

Spain

615

Note: On February 14, Hubei officials changed their diagnostic criteria, resulting in a spike in reported cases.

"While the virus is deadly for some, many who have it experience mild symptoms or no symptoms at all, making it much harder to detect and contain."


Testing google classroom app . . . .


class name: Balally 137th Scouts
section: Scouts
subject: first test class: FIRE, backwoods
room: Balally 137th virtual scout den


Balally 137th Scouts
Scouts
Class code
xyzxdq43pkxyz

assignments:

Backwoods Stage 6:  I know what Team and personal equipment is necessary for a successful backwoods activity.
Backwoods Stage 6:  I know all of the elements of the “Leave no Trace” programme.
Backwoods Stage 6:  I can identify edible fruits and berries that are found in nature.
Backwoods Stage 6:  I can prepare the foods I find in nature for cooking.
Backwoods Stage 6:  I can find my way using natural direction indicators.
Backwoods Stage 6:  I can catch and prepare a fish for cooking.
Backwoods Stage 6:  I have led at least one backwoods activity.

.
.
.
.

https://youthgroupgames.com.au/games/689/zombie-apocalypse/
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/five-games-to-play-after-watching-contagion-70865527/
http://www.clinical-virology.org/an-app-that-shows-how-a-killer-flu-spreads/


... ahhhhnd  a weird cat video ?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jX3iLfcMDCw